Hormuz Iran Investability Index

Iran Investment Readiness

A monthly measure of Iran’s investment readiness, execution risk, and capital access conditions. The index separates market attractiveness from the practical ability to enter, operate, protect capital, and exit.

June 2026
33.5 /100
Watch Only
Monthly change: +24.1%

Investability Spectrum

From structurally unattractive conditions to strong investment readiness.

33.5/100
0–25 Closed Broad foreign capital is effectively blocked or exposed to extreme operating risk. 26–40 Watch High-risk environment; monitoring and preparation are more realistic than broad entry. 41–55 Selective Some sectors may be investable with strong controls, structuring, and local intelligence. 56–70 Entry Structured entry becomes possible in selected sectors and geographies. 71–100 Strong Strong conditions for foreign capital entry, operation, protection, and exit.
Watch Only High-risk environment; monitoring and preparation are more realistic than broad entry.

Investability Trend

Overall score movement across recent months.

33.5/100
+5.7% since Jan
0 25 50 75 100 Score Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 33.5
Selected reading June 2026 Watch Only
33.5/100
Domestic32
External45
Macro16
Freedom32
Infra38
Trade38

Domestic Stability

Internal stability, policy continuity, social order, and institutional predictability.

32 /100
MoM: +14.3%

External Security & Geopolitical Risk

Regional tension, war risk, diplomatic pressure, and external security conditions.

45 /100
MoM: +50.0%

Macroeconomic Stability

Inflation, currency volatility, liquidity growth, fiscal pressure, and monetary stability.

16 /100
MoM: -11.1%

Economic & Regulatory Freedom

Pricing freedom, licensing, ownership conditions, regulation, and state intervention.

32 /100
MoM: +14.3%

Infrastructure & Execution Capacity

Power, logistics, ports, transport, internet, industrial capacity, and workforce readiness.

38 /100
MoM: +8.6%

Trade & Financial Connectivity

Sanctions, banking access, payment channels, shipping, insurance, tariffs, and capital mobility.

38 /100
MoM: +52.0%

Monthly Commentary

The June reading shows the strongest recovery in the first-half baseline. Temporary trade and energy authorization, improved external-security conditions, and better capital-access expectations raised the index, while extreme inflation kept macro stability near the bottom of the scale.

  • External security improved meaningfully from the crisis months as the immediate escalation environment eased.
  • Trade and financial connectivity rose sharply from May due to temporary authorization and improved oil, payment, and settlement expectations.
  • Domestic stability improved but remained below a normal investable-market threshold.
  • Macroeconomic stability remained the weakest component because inflation and currency uncertainty continued to dominate the risk picture.
  • Infrastructure and execution capacity improved only gradually, reflecting partial normalization but not full operating confidence.

Methodology

The Hurmuz Index measures Iran’s monthly investment readiness on a 0–100 scale. It does not measure opportunity alone; it measures whether capital can realistically enter, operate, be protected, and exit under current conditions.

Each monthly reading is produced through an AI-assisted analyst workflow that reviews recent macroeconomic data, policy changes, sanctions and trade conditions, security developments, infrastructure signals, market stress, and credible news flow. That evidence is converted into six sub-index scores, then combined through fixed weights to produce the final reading.

Domestic Stability Weight 17%
External Security & Geopolitical Risk Weight 17%
Macroeconomic Stability Weight 17%
Economic & Regulatory Freedom Weight 16%
Infrastructure & Execution Capacity Weight 13%
Trade & Financial Connectivity Weight 20%

Final Score = Σ(Sub-index score × weight) / 100. All dimension weights sum to 100%.

Limitations & What It Isn’t

  • It is not investment advice or a recommendation to enter Iran.
  • It is not a political endorsement or a forecast of political outcomes.
  • It is not a substitute for legal, sanctions, counterparty, or transaction-level due diligence.
  • It does not claim that a low national score eliminates all sector-specific opportunities.
  • It should be read as a monthly signal framework, not a precise prediction engine.

Embed the Hurmuz Index

Use this iframe to show a small linked Hurmuz Index widget on another website.