Hormuz Iran Investability Index

Iran Investment Readiness

A monthly measure of Iran’s investment readiness, execution risk, and capital access conditions. The index separates market attractiveness from the practical ability to enter, operate, protect capital, and exit.

June 2026
33.5 /100
Caution / Watchlist
Monthly change: +24.1%

Investability Spectrum

From structurally unattractive conditions to strong investment readiness.

33.5/100
0–25 Structurally Closed Broad foreign capital is effectively blocked or exposed to extreme operating risk. 26–40 Watch Only High-risk environment; monitoring and preparation are more realistic than broad entry. 41–55 Selective Opportunity Some sectors may be investable with strong controls, structuring, and local intelligence. 56–70 Controlled Entry Structured entry becomes possible in selected sectors and geographies. 71–100 Strong Investability Strong conditions for foreign capital entry, operation, protection, and exit.

Investability Trend

Overall score movement across recent months.

33.5/100
+5.7% since Jan
Jan Feb Mar Apr May 33.5 Jun

Domestic Stability

Internal stability, policy continuity, social order, and institutional predictability.

32 /100
MoM: +14.3%

External Security & Geopolitical Risk

Regional tension, war risk, diplomatic pressure, and external security conditions.

45 /100
MoM: +50.0%

Macroeconomic Stability

Inflation, currency volatility, liquidity growth, fiscal pressure, and monetary stability.

16 /100
MoM: -11.1%

Economic & Regulatory Freedom

Pricing freedom, licensing, ownership conditions, regulation, and state intervention.

32 /100
MoM: +14.3%

Infrastructure & Execution Capacity

Power, logistics, ports, transport, internet, industrial capacity, and workforce readiness.

38 /100
MoM: +8.6%

Trade & Financial Connectivity

Sanctions, banking access, payment channels, shipping, insurance, tariffs, and capital mobility.

38 /100
MoM: +52.0%

Monthly Commentary

The June reading shows the strongest recovery in the first-half baseline. Temporary trade and energy authorization, improved external-security conditions, and better capital-access expectations raised the index, while extreme inflation kept macro stability near the bottom of the scale.

  • External security improved meaningfully from the crisis months as the immediate escalation environment eased.
  • Trade and financial connectivity rose sharply from May due to temporary authorization and improved oil, payment, and settlement expectations.
  • Domestic stability improved but remained below a normal investable-market threshold.
  • Macroeconomic stability remained the weakest component because inflation and currency uncertainty continued to dominate the risk picture.
  • Infrastructure and execution capacity improved only gradually, reflecting partial normalization but not full operating confidence.

Methodology

The Hurmuz Index measures Iran’s monthly investment readiness on a 0–100 scale. It does not measure opportunity alone; it measures whether capital can realistically enter, operate, be protected, and exit under current conditions.

Domestic Stability 17%
External Security & Geopolitical Risk 17%
Macroeconomic Stability 17%
Economic & Regulatory Freedom 16%
Infrastructure & Execution Capacity 13%
Trade & Financial Connectivity 20%

Final Score = weighted average of the six dimension scores.

Limitations & What It Isn’t

  • It is not investment advice or a recommendation to enter Iran.
  • It is not a political endorsement or a forecast of political outcomes.
  • It is not a substitute for legal, sanctions, counterparty, or transaction-level due diligence.
  • It does not claim that a low national score eliminates all sector-specific opportunities.
  • It should be read as a monthly signal framework, not a precise prediction engine.

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