HORMUZ STRAIT & ENERGY RADAR

Strait of Hormuz Radar

Energy markets, shipping conditions and maritime risk in one live decision view.

Snapshot refreshed 6 minutes ago
قیمت ایران · اطمینان متوسط
نفت سنگین ایران $93.92 Latest published · Nov 9
عمان GME $94.25 GME official daily marker · 09 Nov, 2026
BRENT MARKET $92.43 Futures · delayed market cross-check
STRAIT RISK 80/100 SEVERE · INDICATIVE MODEL
عرضه نفت خام ایران

تولید نفت خام ایران

میلیون بشکه در روز
منابع ثانویه اوپک 1.96 mb/d Sep 2026 · -99 kb/d m/m · headline estimate
شاخص‌های مرجع نفت خام

شاخص‌های منطقه‌ای نفت خام

دلار آمریکا / بشکه
مرجع روزانه نفت سنگین ایرانObserved · TGJU daily Iran Heavy · 2026-11-09
$93.92
راستی‌آزمایی متقابل نفت سنگین ایرانIndependent frontend · OilMonster · November 06, 2026
$94.43
مرجع عمانمنطقه‌ای · شاخص رسمی روزانه GME
$94.25
Brent futuresDelayed cross-check
$92.43
تنگه و کشتیرانی

شرایط جریان

DISRUPTED
Direct traffic feed is stale. Stale transit counts are hidden; current status and Flow Stress use fresh Strait Radar evidence.
Current statusDISRUPTEDStrait Radar
Flow stress80/100SEVERE · INDICATIVE MODEL
STRAIT RADAR

What changed, what matters

SEVERE · 80/100Updated 17 hours ago

Commercial navigation through the Strait of Hormuz is severely disrupted but remains open, with ongoing transits under naval assistance despite kinetic attacks and mine hazards. Benchmark crude prices reflect market concerns, with Brent futures at $96.55/bbl.

Commercial transits
STRESSEDSTABLE
Commercial transits are ongoing under controlled corridor management and naval assistance, though reduced relative to multi-year baselines.
کرایه حمل نفتکش
SEVERERISING
Heavy war-risk freight surcharges are being applied.
War-risk insurance
SEVERERISING
War-risk insurance premiums are significantly elevated due to kinetic attacks and mine risks.
Congestion
STRESSEDSTABLE
Vessels are experiencing delays due to corridor management and naval assistance requirements.
Energy flow
STRESSEDSTABLE
Energy flow continues but is subject to significant disruption and security risks.
SECURITYCRITICAL

Multiple Kinetic Attacks and Tanker Evacuation off Khasab, Oman

On Nov 5 and Nov 7, 2026, three separate incidents occurred off Khasab, Oman, involving an outbound tanker reporting a waterline explosion, another tanker catching fire leading to crew evacuation, and a third struck by an unknown projectile.

SECURITYHIGH

Military Interdiction & Blockade Action in the Gulf of Oman

On Nov 7, 2026, U.S. military forces disabled the bulk carrier HUDA 18 NM east of Khor Fakkan, UAE, using precision munitions after the crew ignored blockade enforcement warnings.

NAVIGATIONMEDIUM

Designated Corridor Routing and Naval Transit Assistance

As of Nov 9, 2026, commercial vessels continue transiting the Strait using controlled corridors within Omani territorial waters, supported by US Naval Cooperation and Guidance for Shipping (NCAGS) assistance.

MARKET IMPLICATIONS
OilPersistent disruptions and security risks in the Strait contribute to elevated crude oil prices, with Brent futures at $96.55/bbl.
ShippingCommercial shipping faces severe operational challenges, including kinetic attack risks, mine hazards, and military interdiction, leading to increased transit times and costs.
InsuranceWar-risk insurance premiums are significantly elevated due to the high-risk environment, impacting overall shipping economics.
NEXT 7 DAYS
Further kinetic attacks or military interdiction incidents in the Strait or Gulf of Oman.
Changes in naval presence or assistance for commercial transits.
Updates on sea-mine clearance operations or new mine detections.

Not applicable.

داده‌ها چه می‌گویند

Hormuz flow stress is high at 78/100. The latest traffic source reports throughput below 2% of normal. That shipping signal is stale, so it should be read as the last reported condition rather than a current live reading.